CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#74

Western Michigan

Mid-American · Conf Rank #3 ·
Net Rating -2.2
Strength of Schedule #114
Strength of Record #50
Controlled Pace Run-First OffenseStout Secondary DefenseOverachieving Competitive Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 309
Comp % 59.9%#89
Yards 1,936
YPA 6.3
ADOT 8.9
INT 6
Success 40.3%#111
PPA 0.10#118
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
44.4%
4 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 120
YPC 30.0
Success 44.4%#27
PPA 0.83#31
Deep Middle
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 43
YPC 43.0
Success 25.0%#91
PPA 0.05#95
Deep Right
20.0%
1 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 30
YPC 30.0
Success 20.0%#101
PPA -0.22#108
Short Left
66.7%
26 / 39 completions
Yards 203
YPC 7.8
Success 41.0%#87
PPA 0.14#91
Short Middle
66.7%
10 / 15 completions
Yards 108
YPC 10.8
Success 33.3%#129
PPA 0.25#114
Short Right
66.0%
31 / 47 completions
Yards 319
YPC 10.3
Success 46.8%#38
PPA 0.18#62
No recorded location 112 / 189 completions
Yards 1,113
YPA 5.9
Comp % 59.3%
Success 39.7%
PPA 0.03

119 of 309 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Michigan State L 6–23
-6.3
Wk 2
vs North Texas L 30–33
+2.6
Wk 3
@ Illinois L 0–38
-16.1
Wk 4
vs Toledo W 14–13
+11.5
Wk 5
vs Rhode Island W 47–14
+12.2
Wk 6
@ Massachusetts W 21–3
+9.0
Wk 7
vs Ball State W 42–0
+28.9
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
@ Miami (OH) L 17–26
-7.7
Wk 10
vs Central Michigan W 24–21
-6.4
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
vs Ohio W 17–13
+4.1
Wk 13
@ Northern Illinois W 35–19
+9.7
Wk 14
@ Eastern Michigan W 31–21
+4.6
Mac Championship
vs Miami (OH) W 23–13
+8.1
Myrtle Beach Bowl
vs Kennesaw State W 41–6
+24.9