CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#81

Western Kentucky

Conference USA · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating -3.6
Strength of Schedule #128
Strength of Record #49
Run-First OffenseSound DefenseOverachieving Competitive Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 492
Comp % 65.2%#34
Yards 3,568
YPA 7.3
ADOT 7.6
INT 14
Success 44.8%#58
PPA 0.20#78
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
16.7%
2 / 12 completions
Yards 50
YPC 25.0
Success 16.7%#101
PPA -0.36#106
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 47
YPC 23.5
Success 50.0%#33
PPA 1.09#40
Deep Right
50.0%
6 / 12 completions
Yards 225
YPC 37.5
Success 50.0%#17
PPA 0.75#31
Short Left
72.1%
44 / 61 completions
Yards 282
YPC 6.4
Success 39.3%#101
PPA 0.06#113
Short Middle
68.9%
31 / 45 completions
Yards 397
YPC 12.8
Success 57.8%#38
PPA 0.41#84
Short Right
69.3%
52 / 75 completions
Yards 449
YPC 8.6
Success 41.3%#74
PPA 0.27#38
No recorded location 184 / 282 completions
Yards 2,118
YPA 7.5
Comp % 65.2%
Success 45.7%
PPA 0.17

209 of 492 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 0
vs Sam Houston W 41–24
+14.1
Wk 1
vs North Alabama W 55–6
+10.9
Wk 2
@ Toledo L 21–45
-24.0
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs Nevada W 31–16
+0.7
Wk 5
@ Missouri State W 27–22
-1.3
Wk 6
@ Delaware W 27–24
+4.3
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
vs Florida International L 6–25
-31.6
Wk 9
@ Louisiana Tech W 28–27
+4.7
Wk 10
vs New Mexico State W 35–16
+6.6
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
vs Middle Tennessee W 42–26
+0.5
Wk 13
@ LSU L 10–13
+12.5
Wk 14
@ Jacksonville State L 34–37
+0.5
New Orleans Bowl
@ Southern Miss W 27–16
+2.8