CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#40

Wake Forest

ACC · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating +5.3
Strength of Schedule #68
Strength of Record #43
Volatile Big-Play OffenseElite Disruptive DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 404
Comp % 57.4%#116
Yards 3,134
YPA 7.8
ADOT 7.8
INT 11
Success 38.2%#121
PPA 0.18#84
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
16.7%
2 / 12 completions
Yards 45
YPC 22.5
Success 16.7%#101
PPA -0.09#96
Deep Middle
37.5%
3 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 112
YPC 37.3
Success 37.5%#70
PPA 0.74#57
Deep Right
50.0%
5 / 10 completions
Yards 178
YPC 35.6
Success 50.0%#17
PPA 0.97#21
Short Left
63.8%
44 / 69 completions
Yards 409
YPC 9.3
Success 43.5%#69
PPA 0.30#51
Short Middle
69.2%
18 / 26 completions
Yards 237
YPC 13.2
Success 46.2%#88
PPA 0.43#81
Short Right
58.5%
48 / 82 completions
Yards 386
YPC 8.0
Success 34.1%#112
PPA 0.01#109
No recorded location 112 / 196 completions
Yards 1,767
YPA 9.0
Comp % 57.1%
Success 37.8%
PPA 0.14

207 of 404 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Kennesaw State W 10–9
-17.6
Wk 2
vs Western Carolina W 42–10
-2.6
Wk 3
vs NC State L 24–34
-8.4
Wk 4
Bye — —
Wk 5
vs Georgia Tech L 29–30
+0.6
Wk 6
@ Virginia Tech W 30–23
+7.4
Wk 7
@ Oregon State W 39–14
+19.8
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
vs SMU W 13–12
+1.7
Wk 10
@ Florida State L 7–42
-27.4
Wk 11
@ Virginia W 16–9
+15.4
Wk 12
vs North Carolina W 28–12
+6.3
Wk 13
vs Delaware W 52–14
+22.0
Wk 14
@ Duke L 32–49
-16.4
Duke'S Mayo Bowl
@ Mississippi State W 43–29
+18.7