CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#34

Virginia

ACC · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating +7.3
Strength of Schedule #65
Strength of Record #26
Efficient OffenseStout Secondary DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 488
Comp % 64.1%#44
Yards 3,350
YPA 6.9
ADOT 6.9
INT 9
Success 42.2%#91
PPA 0.19#83
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#121
PPA -0.75#122
Deep Middle
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 77
YPC 25.7
Success 42.9%#56
PPA 0.05#93
Deep Right
44.4%
4 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 122
YPC 30.5
Success 44.4%#27
PPA 0.71#34
Short Left
75.0%
51 / 68 completions
Yards 467
YPC 9.2
Success 42.6%#77
PPA 0.29#56
Short Middle
63.2%
36 / 57 completions
Yards 284
YPC 7.9
Success 33.3%#129
PPA 0.10#128
Short Right
60.4%
61 / 101 completions
Yards 588
YPC 9.6
Success 40.6%#76
PPA 0.18#64
No recorded location 158 / 240 completions
Yards 1,812
YPA 7.5
Comp % 65.8%
Success 45.8%
PPA 0.20

248 of 488 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Coastal Carolina W 48–7
+33.0
Wk 2
@ NC State L 31–35
-3.0
Wk 3
vs William & Mary W 55–16
-0.4
Wk 4
vs Stanford W 48–20
+10.0
Wk 5
vs Florida State W 46–38
+6.0
Wk 6
@ Louisville W 30–27
+8.9
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
vs Washington State W 22–20
-16.7
Wk 9
@ North Carolina W 17–16
-10.5
Wk 10
@ California W 31–21
+4.0
Wk 11
vs Wake Forest L 9–16
-15.4
Wk 12
@ Duke W 34–17
+20.9
Wk 13
Bye — —
Wk 14
vs Virginia Tech W 27–7
+7.9
Taxslayer Gator Bowl
@ Missouri W 13–7
+16.9