CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#59

UTSA

American Athletic · Conf Rank #6 ·
Net Rating +1.7
Strength of Schedule #86
Strength of Record #68
Efficient OffenseDisruptive DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 431
Comp % 66.4%#24
Yards 3,148
YPA 7.3
ADOT 5.9
INT 5
Success 47.2%#34
PPA 0.29#47
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 76
YPC 38.0
Success 33.3%#54
PPA 0.10#83
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 83
YPC 41.5
Success 66.7%#12
PPA 0.92#45
Deep Right
66.7%
4 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 119
YPC 29.8
Success 66.7%#3
PPA 1.62#3
Short Left
72.0%
67 / 93 completions
Yards 606
YPC 9.0
Success 50.5%#31
PPA 0.25#64
Short Middle
74.4%
29 / 39 completions
Yards 404
YPC 13.9
Success 59.0%#34
PPA 0.81#24
Short Right
71.2%
47 / 66 completions
Yards 429
YPC 9.1
Success 51.5%#13
PPA 0.36#18
No recorded location 135 / 217 completions
Yards 1,431
YPA 6.6
Comp % 62.2%
Success 41.9%
PPA 0.15

213 of 431 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Texas A&M L 24–42
-0.8
Wk 2
vs Texas State L 36–43
-5.5
Wk 3
vs Incarnate Word W 48–20
-9.3
Wk 4
@ Colorado State W 17–16
-2.4
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ Temple L 21–27
-14.5
Wk 7
vs Rice W 61–13
+32.6
Wk 8
@ North Texas L 17–55
-34.8
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
vs Tulane W 48–26
+19.0
Wk 11
@ South Florida L 23–55
-21.9
Wk 12
@ Charlotte W 28–7
+2.8
Wk 13
vs East Carolina W 58–24
+37.5
Wk 14
vs Army L 24–27
-13.8
Servpro First Responder Bowl
vs Florida International W 57–20
+27.8