CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#80

UCF

Big 12 · Conf Rank #13 ·
Net Rating -3.0
Strength of Schedule #66
Strength of Record #87
Volatile Big-Play OffenseSound DefenseHigh-Level Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 402
Comp % 61.9%#69
Yards 2,705
YPA 6.7
ADOT 6.9
INT 10
Success 42.3%#88
PPA 0.11#115
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
25.0%
3 / 12 completions
Yards 109
YPC 36.3
Success 25.0%#81
PPA 0.06#86
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#110
PPA -0.68#111
Deep Right
50.0%
1 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 83
YPC 83.0
Success 50.0%
PPA 3.05
Short Left
72.0%
36 / 50 completions
Yards 287
YPC 8.0
Success 44.0%#65
PPA 0.08#106
Short Middle
65.5%
19 / 29 completions
Yards 244
YPC 12.8
Success 55.2%#47
PPA 0.27#112
Short Right
71.4%
40 / 56 completions
Yards 265
YPC 6.6
Success 42.9%#60
PPA 0.03#105
No recorded location 150 / 249 completions
Yards 1,717
YPA 6.9
Comp % 60.2%
Success 41.8%
PPA 0.11

153 of 402 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Jacksonville State W 17–10
-1.2
Wk 2
vs North Carolina A&T W 68–7
+17.9
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs North Carolina W 34–9
+16.3
Wk 5
@ Kansas State L 20–34
-12.3
Wk 6
vs Kansas L 20–27
-2.6
Wk 7
@ Cincinnati L 11–20
-5.3
Wk 8
vs West Virginia W 45–13
+23.6
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
@ Baylor L 3–30
-26.2
Wk 11
vs Houston L 27–30
-6.1
Wk 12
@ Texas Tech L 9–48
-15.1
Wk 13
vs Oklahoma State W 17–14
-14.0
Wk 14
@ BYU L 21–41
-1.4