CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#120

Tulsa

American Athletic · Conf Rank #11 ·
Net Rating -12.9
Strength of Schedule #112
Strength of Record #120
Uptempo Stymied Anemic Offense (Turnover-Prone)Sound DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 418
Comp % 58.6%#102
Yards 2,729
YPA 6.5
ADOT 12.0
INT 9
Success 41.3%#100
PPA 0.16#99
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
41.2%
7 / 17 completions
Yards 209
YPC 29.9
Success 41.2%#39
PPA 0.03#91
Deep Middle
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 81
YPC 40.5
Success 28.6%#86
PPA 0.36#80
Deep Right
35.7%
5 / 14 completions
Yards 200
YPC 40.0
Success 35.7%#55
PPA 0.66#39
Short Left
72.3%
34 / 47 completions
Yards 254
YPC 7.5
Success 48.9%#37
PPA 0.30#51
Short Middle
64.3%
18 / 28 completions
Yards 209
YPC 11.6
Success 42.9%#104
PPA 0.51#69
Short Right
60.6%
20 / 33 completions
Yards 167
YPC 8.3
Success 27.3%#129
PPA 0.14#77
No recorded location 159 / 270 completions
Yards 1,609
YPA 6.0
Comp % 58.9%
Success 42.2%
PPA 0.08

146 of 418 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Abilene Christian W 35–7
+7.8
Wk 2
@ New Mexico State L 14–21
-3.7
Wk 3
vs Navy L 23–42
-11.2
Wk 4
@ Oklahoma State W 19–12
+10.4
Wk 5
vs Tulane L 14–31
-7.0
Wk 6
@ Memphis L 7–45
-12.9
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
@ East Carolina L 27–41
+8.5
Wk 9
vs Temple L 37–38
+5.6
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
@ Florida Atlantic L 21–40
-7.9
Wk 12
vs Oregon State W 31–14
+24.1
Wk 13
@ Army W 26–25
+15.2
Wk 14
vs UAB L 24–31
-10.2