CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#15

Texas

SEC · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating +15.5
Strength of Schedule #13
Strength of Record #11
High-Powered Air AssaultStout & Disruptive DefenseBlue-Blood Talent
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 415
Comp % 61.2%#78
Yards 3,253
YPA 7.8
ADOT 8.6
INT 8
Success 42.3%#88
PPA 0.32#41
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
18.2%
2 / 11 completions
Yards 116
YPC 58.0
Success 18.2%#100
PPA 0.31#67
Deep Middle
40.0%
2 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 75
YPC 37.5
Success 40.0%#59
PPA 1.05#41
Deep Right
12.5%
1 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 50
YPC 50.0
Success 12.5%#119
PPA -0.19#105
Short Left
64.8%
46 / 71 completions
Yards 469
YPC 10.2
Success 42.3%#80
PPA 0.28#57
Short Middle
70.7%
29 / 41 completions
Yards 371
YPC 12.8
Success 53.7%#51
PPA 0.73#32
Short Right
68.0%
51 / 75 completions
Yards 579
YPC 11.3
Success 49.3%#22
PPA 0.43#9
No recorded location 123 / 203 completions
Yards 1,593
YPA 7.8
Comp % 60.6%
Success 39.9%
PPA 0.21

211 of 415 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Ohio State L 7–14
+1.4
Wk 2
vs San José State W 38–7
+2.8
Wk 3
vs UTEP W 27–10
-17.2
Wk 4
vs Sam Houston W 55–0
+20.3
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ Florida L 21–29
-17.6
Wk 7
vs Oklahoma W 23–6
+13.1
Wk 8
@ Kentucky W 16–13
-13.0
Wk 9
@ Mississippi State W 45–38
-6.2
Wk 10
vs Vanderbilt W 34–31
-3.8
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
@ Georgia L 10–35
-18.4
Wk 13
vs Arkansas W 52–37
-0.1
Wk 14
vs Texas A&M W 27–17
+11.5
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
vs Michigan W 41–27
+7.7