CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#46

TCU

Big 12 · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating +4.1
Strength of Schedule #42
Strength of Record #34
High-Powered Air AssaultSound DefenseHigh-Level Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 461
Comp % 66.4%#24
Yards 3,774
YPA 8.2
ADOT 7.7
INT 15
Success 47.9%#31
PPA 0.33#38
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
22.2%
2 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 48
YPC 24.0
Success 22.2%#93
PPA 0.02#92
Deep Middle
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 27
YPC 27.0
Success 33.3%#71
PPA -0.30#106
Deep Right
25.0%
2 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 70
YPC 35.0
Success 25.0%#88
PPA 0.21#78
Short Left
76.1%
51 / 67 completions
Yards 378
YPC 7.4
Success 43.3%#70
PPA 0.33#39
Short Middle
80.8%
21 / 26 completions
Yards 267
YPC 12.7
Success 61.5%#24
PPA 1.10#4
Short Right
72.3%
60 / 83 completions
Yards 658
YPC 11.0
Success 50.6%#16
PPA 0.29#34
No recorded location 169 / 265 completions
Yards 2,326
YPA 8.8
Comp % 63.8%
Success 48.7%
PPA 0.30

196 of 461 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ North Carolina W 48–14
+32.1
Wk 2
Bye — —
Wk 3
vs Abilene Christian W 42–21
-29.7
Wk 4
vs SMU W 35–24
+2.8
Wk 5
@ Arizona State L 24–27
-5.0
Wk 6
vs Colorado W 35–21
+3.4
Wk 7
@ Kansas State L 28–41
-16.1
Wk 8
vs Baylor W 42–36
-1.0
Wk 9
@ West Virginia W 23–17
-5.8
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
vs Iowa State L 17–20
-10.2
Wk 12
@ BYU L 13–44
-24.5
Wk 13
@ Houston W 17–14
+3.5
Wk 14
vs Cincinnati W 45–23
+17.7
Valero Alamo Bowl
vs USC W 30–27
+11.1