CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

← Return
#99

Southern Miss

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating -7.7
Strength of Schedule #126
Strength of Record #95
Uptempo Balanced SpreadDisruptive DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 442
Comp % 63.3%#52
Yards 3,451
YPA 7.8
ADOT 10.0
INT 10
Success 41.4%#98
PPA 0.23#67
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
36.8%
7 / 19 completions
Yards 223
YPC 31.9
Success 36.8%#51
PPA 0.38#61
Deep Middle
40.0%
4 / 10 completions
Yards 152
YPC 38.0
Success 40.0%#59
PPA 0.52#70
Deep Right
35.3%
6 / 17 completions
Yards 172
YPC 28.7
Success 35.3%#56
PPA 0.48#52
Short Left
70.1%
54 / 77 completions
Yards 416
YPC 7.7
Success 37.7%#109
PPA 0.21#77
Short Middle
56.8%
21 / 37 completions
Yards 271
YPC 12.9
Success 43.2%#103
PPA 0.23#116
Short Right
75.0%
51 / 68 completions
Yards 413
YPC 8.1
Success 44.1%#56
PPA 0.31#31
No recorded location 137 / 214 completions
Yards 1,804
YPA 8.4
Comp % 64.0%
Success 42.5%
PPA 0.18

228 of 442 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Mississippi State L 17–34
-3.1
Wk 2
vs Jackson State W 38–20
-0.7
Wk 3
vs App State W 38–22
+24.3
Wk 4
@ Louisiana Tech L 20–30
+0.8
Wk 5
vs Jacksonville State W 42–25
+23.0
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
@ Georgia Southern W 38–35
+2.6
Wk 8
@ Louisiana W 22–10
+10.7
Wk 9
vs UL Monroe W 49–21
+13.0
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
@ Arkansas State W 27–21
+4.6
Wk 12
vs Texas State L 14–41
-27.5
Wk 13
@ South Alabama L 35–42
-4.5
Wk 14
vs Troy L 18–28
-13.2
New Orleans Bowl
vs Western Kentucky L 16–27
-2.8