CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#94

South Alabama

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #6 ·
Net Rating -7.1
Strength of Schedule #109
Strength of Record #113
Balanced SpreadPorous & Passive DefenseCompetitive Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 314
Comp % 68.5%#10
Yards 2,209
YPA 7.0
ADOT 6.7
INT 5
Success 42.0%#94
PPA 0.16#98
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
16.7%
1 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 64
YPC 64.0
Success 16.7%#101
PPA 0.24#74
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 103
YPC 51.5
Success 50.0%#33
PPA 0.70#61
Deep Right
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 59
YPC 29.5
Success 33.3%#57
PPA 0.22#76
Short Left
74.4%
32 / 43 completions
Yards 237
YPC 7.4
Success 39.5%#97
PPA 0.28#57
Short Middle
77.8%
21 / 27 completions
Yards 243
YPC 11.6
Success 51.9%#61
PPA 0.75#29
Short Right
79.2%
38 / 48 completions
Yards 250
YPC 6.6
Success 47.9%#26
PPA 0.20#57
No recorded location 119 / 180 completions
Yards 1,253
YPA 7.0
Comp % 66.1%
Success 40.6%
PPA 0.01

134 of 314 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Morgan State W 38–21
-25.8
Wk 2
vs Tulane L 31–33
-2.7
Wk 3
@ Auburn L 15–31
-2.1
Wk 4
vs Coastal Carolina L 20–38
-33.8
Wk 5
@ North Texas L 22–36
+1.1
Wk 6
@ Troy L 24–31
-3.4
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
vs Arkansas State L 14–15
-12.1
Wk 9
@ Georgia State W 38–31
+0.6
Wk 10
vs Louisiana L 22–31
-16.7
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
@ UL Monroe W 26–14
+3.3
Wk 13
vs Southern Miss W 42–35
+4.5
Wk 14
@ Texas State L 26–49
-12.8