CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#24

SMU

ACC · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating +11.5
Strength of Schedule #61
Strength of Record #39
Uptempo Efficient OffenseElite Disruptive DefenseElite Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 464
Comp % 66.6%#23
Yards 3,818
YPA 8.2
ADOT 7.3
INT 14
Success 46.3%#41
PPA 0.31#46
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
45.5%
5 / 11 completions
Yards 126
YPC 25.2
Success 54.5%#13
PPA 0.93#25
Deep Middle
83.3%
5 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 189
YPC 37.8
Success 83.3%#8
PPA 3.00#4
Deep Right
47.1%
8 / 17 completions
Yards 269
YPC 33.6
Success 47.1%#25
PPA 0.96#24
Short Left
57.1%
28 / 49 completions
Yards 188
YPC 6.7
Success 30.6%#133
PPA -0.11#132
Short Middle
81.2%
26 / 32 completions
Yards 323
YPC 12.4
Success 59.4%#32
PPA 0.90#18
Short Right
69.5%
73 / 105 completions
Yards 643
YPC 8.8
Success 46.7%#41
PPA 0.17#69
No recorded location 164 / 244 completions
Yards 2,080
YPA 8.5
Comp % 67.2%
Success 46.3%
PPA 0.24

220 of 464 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs East Texas A&M W 42–13
-27.1
Wk 2
vs Baylor L 45–48
-14.7
Wk 3
@ Missouri State W 28–10
-1.1
Wk 4
@ TCU L 24–35
-2.8
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
vs Syracuse W 31–18
+1.0
Wk 7
vs Stanford W 34–10
+5.8
Wk 8
@ Clemson W 35–24
+16.4
Wk 9
@ Wake Forest L 12–13
-1.7
Wk 10
vs Miami W 26–20
+14.8
Wk 11
@ Boston College W 45–13
+21.2
Wk 12
Bye — —
Wk 13
vs Louisville W 38–6
+29.5
Wk 14
@ California L 35–38
-15.8
Trust & Will Holiday Bowl
vs Arizona W 24–19
-8.6