CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#115

San José State

Mountain West · Conf Rank #9 ·
Net Rating -11.5
Strength of Schedule #96
Strength of Record #126
Uptempo Balanced SpreadPorous & Passive DefenseCompetitive Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 490
Comp % 55.5%#125
Yards 3,436
YPA 7.0
ADOT 11.2
INT 17
Success 41.4%#98
PPA 0.08#121
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
4 / 12 completions
Yards 114
YPC 28.5
Success 33.3%#54
PPA 0.57#51
Deep Middle
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 59
YPC 29.5
Success 28.6%#86
PPA -0.21#104
Deep Right
44.4%
8 / 18 completions
Yards 306
YPC 38.3
Success 44.4%#27
PPA 0.57#45
Short Left
64.9%
37 / 57 completions
Yards 345
YPC 9.3
Success 43.9%#66
PPA 0.12#98
Short Middle
50.0%
8 / 16 completions
Yards 131
YPC 16.4
Success 50.0%#65
PPA 0.38#92
Short Right
54.8%
34 / 62 completions
Yards 243
YPC 7.2
Success 33.9%#113
PPA -0.10#130
No recorded location 179 / 318 completions
Yards 2,238
YPA 7.0
Comp % 56.3%
Success 42.5%
PPA 0.06

172 of 490 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Central Michigan L 14–16
-13.4
Wk 2
@ Texas L 7–38
-2.8
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs Idaho W 31–28
-19.1
Wk 5
@ Stanford L 29–30
-1.1
Wk 6
vs New Mexico W 35–28
+4.2
Wk 7
@ Wyoming L 28–35
-7.8
Wk 8
@ Utah State L 25–30
-3.1
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
vs Hawai'i W 45–38
+2.6
Wk 11
vs Air Force L 16–26
-17.8
Wk 12
@ Nevada L 10–55
-54.8
Wk 13
@ San Diego State L 3–25
-4.7
Wk 14
vs Fresno State L 14–41
-21.3