CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#52

San Diego State

Mountain West · Conf Rank #3 ·
Net Rating +3.0
Strength of Schedule #107
Strength of Record #54
Balanced SpreadElite DefenseOverachieving Above-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 294
Comp % 57.1%#120
Yards 2,117
YPA 7.2
ADOT 11.1
INT 11
Success 37.4%#125
PPA 0.06#127
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
11.1%
1 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 26
YPC 26.0
Success 11.1%#113
PPA -0.46#110
Deep Middle
16.7%
1 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 35
YPC 35.0
Success 16.7%#108
PPA -0.03#98
Deep Right
26.7%
4 / 15 completions
Yards 183
YPC 45.8
Success 26.7%#86
PPA 0.35#61
Short Left
70.5%
31 / 44 completions
Yards 250
YPC 8.1
Success 43.2%#73
PPA 0.27#61
Short Middle
60.0%
12 / 20 completions
Yards 141
YPC 11.8
Success 45.0%#97
PPA 0.36#102
Short Right
52.9%
27 / 51 completions
Yards 254
YPC 9.4
Success 29.4%#126
PPA -0.14#131
No recorded location 92 / 149 completions
Yards 1,228
YPA 8.2
Comp % 61.7%
Success 40.9%
PPA 0.04

145 of 294 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Stony Brook W 42–0
+11.2
Wk 2
@ Washington State L 13–36
-15.2
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs California W 34–0
+42.1
Wk 5
@ Northern Illinois W 6–3
+1.3
Wk 6
vs Colorado State W 45–24
+13.8
Wk 7
@ Nevada W 44–10
+22.8
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
@ Fresno State W 23–0
+19.8
Wk 10
vs Wyoming W 24–7
+2.8
Wk 11
@ Hawai'i L 6–38
-43.8
Wk 12
vs Boise State W 17–7
+7.2
Wk 13
vs San José State W 25–3
+4.7
Wk 14
@ New Mexico L 17–23
-8.1
Isleta New Mexico Bowl
vs North Texas L 47–49
+4.1