CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#126

Rice

American Athletic · Conf Rank #13 ·
Net Rating -14.8
Strength of Schedule #81
Strength of Record #110
Controlled Pace Stymied Anemic Offense (Turnover-Prone)Porous & Passive DefenseCompetitive Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 215
Comp % 66.0%#28
Yards 1,222
YPA 5.7
ADOT 5.4
INT 4
Success 34.4%#133
PPA 0.14#104
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 75
YPC 75.0
Success 33.3%#54
PPA 1.50#9
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 82
YPC 41.0
Success 50.0%#33
PPA 0.76#55
Deep Right
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 23
YPC 23.0
Success 25.0%#88
PPA 0.01#94
Short Left
71.4%
20 / 28 completions
Yards 155
YPC 7.8
Success 42.9%#75
PPA 0.51#16
Short Middle
81.8%
27 / 33 completions
Yards 224
YPC 8.3
Success 39.4%#122
PPA 0.37#96
Short Right
55.9%
19 / 34 completions
Yards 58
YPC 3.0
Success 17.6%#135
PPA -0.48#135
No recorded location 72 / 109 completions
Yards 605
YPA 5.5
Comp % 66.1%
Success 35.8%
PPA 0.11

106 of 215 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Louisiana W 14–12
+9.1
Wk 2
vs Houston L 9–35
-21.1
Wk 3
vs Prairie View A&M W 38–17
-3.3
Wk 4
@ Charlotte W 28–17
+9.1
Wk 5
@ Navy L 13–21
+6.2
Wk 6
vs Florida Atlantic L 21–27
-7.0
Wk 7
@ UTSA L 13–61
-32.6
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
vs UConn W 37–34
+11.8
Wk 10
vs Memphis L 14–38
-5.4
Wk 11
vs UAB W 24–17
+6.8
Wk 12
Bye — —
Wk 13
vs North Texas L 24–56
-13.2
Wk 14
@ South Florida L 3–52
-18.6
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
@ Texas State L 10–41
-14.1