CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#107

Oregon State

Pac-12 · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating -9.6
Strength of Schedule #71
Strength of Record #125
Balanced SpreadSound DefenseUnderachieving Above-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 436
Comp % 59.9%#89
Yards 2,781
YPA 6.4
ADOT 7.8
INT 12
Success 43.6%#70
PPA 0.11#115
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 27
YPC 27.0
Success 25.0%#81
PPA 0.16#78
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 67
YPC 33.5
Success 50.0%#33
PPA 0.90#47
Deep Right
40.0%
4 / 10 completions
Yards 119
YPC 29.8
Success 40.0%#35
PPA 0.42#55
Short Left
68.4%
26 / 38 completions
Yards 153
YPC 5.9
Success 36.8%#114
PPA 0.05#114
Short Middle
65.2%
15 / 23 completions
Yards 143
YPC 9.5
Success 43.5%#102
PPA 0.53#66
Short Right
74.1%
40 / 54 completions
Yards 320
YPC 8.0
Success 50.0%#17
PPA -0.10#129
No recorded location 173 / 303 completions
Yards 1,952
YPA 6.4
Comp % 57.1%
Success 43.6%
PPA 0.10

133 of 436 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs California L 15–34
-13.7
Wk 2
vs Fresno State L 27–36
-8.2
Wk 3
@ Texas Tech L 14–45
-9.9
Wk 4
@ Oregon L 7–41
-1.0
Wk 5
vs Houston L 24–27
+4.8
Wk 6
@ App State L 23–27
-2.9
Wk 7
vs Wake Forest L 14–39
-19.8
Wk 8
vs Lafayette W 45–13
+9.5
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
vs Washington State W 10–7
+2.8
Wk 11
vs Sam Houston L 17–21
-21.9
Wk 12
@ Tulsa L 14–31
-24.1
Wk 13
Bye — —
Wk 14
@ Washington State L 8–32
-12.5