CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#130

Oklahoma State

Big 12 · Conf Rank #16 ·
Net Rating -16.0
Strength of Schedule #37
Strength of Record #129
Run-Heavy OffenseVulnerable DefenseUnderachieving High-Level Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 373
Comp % 56.3%#122
Yards 2,035
YPA 5.5
ADOT 5.5
INT 10
Success 35.7%#132
PPA -0.05#133
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
22.2%
2 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 62
YPC 31.0
Success 22.2%#93
PPA 0.15#80
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 46
YPC 23.0
Success 66.7%#12
PPA 0.98#42
Deep Right
0.0%
0 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#126
PPA -0.87#127
Short Left
80.5%
33 / 41 completions
Yards 351
YPC 10.6
Success 63.4%#1
PPA 0.51#17
Short Middle
70.0%
21 / 30 completions
Yards 182
YPC 8.7
Success 53.3%#53
PPA 0.33#106
Short Right
58.0%
40 / 69 completions
Yards 249
YPC 6.2
Success 26.1%#131
PPA -0.16#132
No recorded location 112 / 217 completions
Yards 1,145
YPA 5.3
Comp % 51.6%
Success 31.8%
PPA -0.18

156 of 373 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs UT Martin W 27–7
-13.0
Wk 2
@ Oregon L 3–69
-37.4
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs Tulsa L 12–19
-10.4
Wk 5
vs Baylor L 27–45
-3.0
Wk 6
@ Arizona L 13–41
-9.8
Wk 7
vs Houston L 17–39
-7.4
Wk 8
vs Cincinnati L 17–49
-14.0
Wk 9
@ Texas Tech L 0–42
-1.2
Wk 10
@ Kansas L 21–38
+11.8
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
vs Kansas State L 6–14
+12.4
Wk 13
@ UCF L 14–17
+14.0
Wk 14
vs Iowa State L 13–20
+12.1