CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#124

Northern Illinois

Mid-American · Conf Rank #9 ·
Net Rating -13.3
Strength of Schedule #131
Strength of Record #128
Run-Heavy OffensePorous & Passive DefenseUnderdog Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 242
Comp % 52.5%#134
Yards 1,194
YPA 4.9
ADOT 11.3
INT 6
Success 28.9%#136
PPA -0.10#136
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#121
PPA -0.53#113
Deep Middle
20.0%
1 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 31
YPC 31.0
Success 20.0%#102
PPA 0.00#97
Deep Right
20.0%
1 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 41
YPC 41.0
Success 20.0%#101
PPA -0.66#122
Short Left
57.1%
12 / 21 completions
Yards 135
YPC 11.3
Success 47.6%#46
PPA 0.05#115
Short Middle
54.5%
6 / 11 completions
Yards 103
YPC 17.2
Success 27.3%#133
PPA 0.49#74
Short Right
54.2%
13 / 24 completions
Yards 102
YPC 7.8
Success 29.2%#127
PPA 0.13#85
No recorded location 94 / 171 completions
Yards 782
YPA 4.6
Comp % 55.0%
Success 28.1%
PPA -0.16

71 of 242 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Holy Cross W 19–17
-33.5
Wk 2
@ Maryland L 9–20
-1.6
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
@ Mississippi State L 10–38
-19.9
Wk 5
vs San Diego State L 3–6
-1.3
Wk 6
vs Miami (OH) L 14–25
-14.0
Wk 7
@ Eastern Michigan L 10–16
-9.3
Wk 8
@ Ohio L 21–48
-14.5
Wk 9
vs Ball State W 21–7
+3.2
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
@ Toledo L 3–42
-20.0
Wk 12
@ Massachusetts W 45–3
+29.9
Wk 13
vs Western Michigan L 19–35
-9.7
Wk 14
vs Kent State L 31–35
-13.2