CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#127

New Mexico State

Conference USA · Conf Rank #11 ·
Net Rating -15.0
Strength of Schedule #123
Strength of Record #111
Stymied Anemic Offense (Turnover-Prone)Sound DefenseUnderdog Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 495
Comp % 59.0%#99
Yards 3,202
YPA 6.5
ADOT 8.5
INT 15
Success 42.2%#91
PPA 0.13#107
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
20.0%
3 / 15 completions
Yards 70
YPC 23.3
Success 20.0%#97
PPA -0.64#117
Deep Middle
40.0%
2 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 53
YPC 26.5
Success 40.0%#59
PPA 0.82#52
Deep Right
40.0%
6 / 15 completions
Yards 209
YPC 34.8
Success 40.0%#35
PPA 0.59#43
Short Left
65.6%
63 / 96 completions
Yards 419
YPC 6.7
Success 41.7%#83
PPA 0.07#110
Short Middle
61.3%
38 / 62 completions
Yards 463
YPC 12.2
Success 48.4%#76
PPA 0.21#119
Short Right
68.5%
63 / 92 completions
Yards 506
YPC 8.0
Success 43.5%#57
PPA 0.30#32
No recorded location 117 / 210 completions
Yards 1,482
YPA 7.1
Comp % 55.7%
Success 41.9%
PPA 0.05

285 of 495 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Bryant W 19–3
-11.5
Wk 2
vs Tulsa W 21–14
+3.7
Wk 3
@ Louisiana Tech L 14–49
-27.1
Wk 4
Bye — —
Wk 5
@ New Mexico L 20–38
-6.3
Wk 6
vs Sam Houston W 37–10
+23.8
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
@ Liberty L 27–30
+8.8
Wk 9
vs Missouri State L 17–24
-6.2
Wk 10
@ Western Kentucky L 16–35
-6.6
Wk 11
vs Kennesaw State L 21–24
+3.5
Wk 12
@ Tennessee L 9–42
+1.8
Wk 13
@ UTEP W 34–31
+9.3
Wk 14
vs Middle Tennessee L 24–31
-9.7