CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#56

NC State

ACC · Conf Rank #11 ·
Net Rating +2.3
Strength of Schedule #31
Strength of Record #33
High-Powered OffenseSound DefenseHigh-Level Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 411
Comp % 68.1%#13
Yards 3,210
YPA 7.8
ADOT 8.2
INT 10
Success 45.2%#56
PPA 0.34#37
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
44.4%
4 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 122
YPC 30.5
Success 44.4%#27
PPA 0.69#42
Deep Middle
66.7%
4 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 108
YPC 27.0
Success 66.7%#12
PPA 0.74#56
Deep Right
40.0%
4 / 10 completions
Yards 159
YPC 39.8
Success 40.0%#35
PPA 0.70#35
Short Left
75.9%
44 / 58 completions
Yards 328
YPC 7.5
Success 34.5%#123
PPA 0.28#60
Short Middle
61.3%
19 / 31 completions
Yards 196
YPC 10.3
Success 48.4%#76
PPA 0.35#105
Short Right
63.1%
41 / 65 completions
Yards 314
YPC 7.7
Success 35.4%#105
PPA 0.05#103
No recorded location 164 / 230 completions
Yards 1,983
YPA 8.6
Comp % 71.3%
Success 50.0%
PPA 0.39

179 of 411 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs East Carolina W 24–17
-0.8
Wk 2
vs Virginia W 35–31
+3.0
Wk 3
@ Wake Forest W 34–24
+8.4
Wk 4
@ Duke L 33–45
-12.3
Wk 5
vs Virginia Tech L 21–23
-13.6
Wk 6
vs Campbell W 56–10
+4.2
Wk 7
@ Notre Dame L 7–36
-6.9
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
@ Pittsburgh L 34–53
-12.6
Wk 10
vs Georgia Tech W 48–36
+13.7
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
@ Miami L 7–41
-17.6
Wk 13
vs Florida State W 21–11
+14.1
Wk 14
vs North Carolina W 42–19
+11.3
Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
vs Memphis W 31–7
+25.5