CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#66

Navy

American Athletic · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating -0.3
Strength of Schedule #82
Strength of Record #15
Controlled Pace High-Powered Offense (Ball-Secure)Sound DefenseOverachieving Underdog Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 181
Comp % 58.0%#108
Yards 1,696
YPA 9.4
ADOT 10.9
INT 6
Success 43.1%#79
PPA 0.38#26
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#121
PPA -0.57#115
Deep Middle
66.7%
6 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 212
YPC 35.3
Success 66.7%#12
PPA 1.41#26
Deep Right
16.7%
1 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 46
YPC 46.0
Success 16.7%#109
PPA -0.20#106
Short Left
75.0%
24 / 32 completions
Yards 231
YPC 9.6
Success 50.0%#32
PPA 0.62#4
Short Middle
88.9%
8 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 62
YPC 7.8
Success 66.7%#10
PPA 0.69#41
Short Right
36.7%
11 / 30 completions
Yards 120
YPC 10.9
Success 26.7%#130
PPA -0.16#133
No recorded location 55 / 91 completions
Yards 1,025
YPA 11.3
Comp % 60.4%
Success 45.1%
PPA 0.42

90 of 181 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs VMI W 52–7
+11.9
Wk 2
vs UAB W 38–24
+10.1
Wk 3
@ Tulsa W 42–23
+11.2
Wk 4
Bye — —
Wk 5
vs Rice W 21–13
-6.2
Wk 6
vs Air Force W 34–31
-15.4
Wk 7
@ Temple W 32–31
-6.6
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
vs Florida Atlantic W 42–32
-3.2
Wk 10
@ North Texas L 17–31
-3.9
Wk 11
@ Notre Dame L 10–49
-11.5
Wk 12
vs South Florida W 41–38
+12.5
Wk 13
Bye — —
Wk 14
@ Memphis W 28–17
+21.2
Autozone Liberty Bowl
@ Cincinnati W 35–13
+36.8
Wk 16
vs Army W 17–16
-5.8