CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#62

Mississippi State

SEC · Conf Rank #16 ·
Net Rating +0.6
Strength of Schedule #21
Strength of Record #77
Uptempo Efficient OffenseSound DefenseUnderachieving Elite Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 389
Comp % 62.0%#68
Yards 3,117
YPA 8.0
ADOT 9.3
INT 8
Success 43.2%#74
PPA 0.28#51
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 38
YPC 38.0
Success 25.0%#81
PPA -0.33#105
Deep Middle
33.3%
3 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 126
YPC 42.0
Success 33.3%#71
PPA 0.54#69
Deep Right
30.8%
4 / 13 completions
Yards 171
YPC 42.8
Success 30.8%#69
PPA 0.60#42
Short Left
67.9%
36 / 53 completions
Yards 388
YPC 10.8
Success 45.3%#60
PPA 0.34#36
Short Middle
52.8%
19 / 36 completions
Yards 291
YPC 15.3
Success 41.7%#110
PPA 0.38#93
Short Right
64.4%
47 / 73 completions
Yards 395
YPC 8.4
Success 45.2%#51
PPA 0.21#54
No recorded location 131 / 201 completions
Yards 1,708
YPA 8.5
Comp % 65.2%
Success 43.8%
PPA 0.25

188 of 389 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Southern Miss W 34–17
+3.1
Wk 2
vs Arizona State W 24–20
+9.9
Wk 3
vs Alcorn State W 63–0
+23.0
Wk 4
vs Northern Illinois W 38–10
+19.9
Wk 5
vs Tennessee L 34–41
+2.6
Wk 6
@ Texas A&M L 9–31
-8.2
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
@ Florida L 21–23
+7.0
Wk 9
vs Texas L 38–45
+6.2
Wk 10
@ Arkansas W 38–35
+7.2
Wk 11
vs Georgia L 21–41
-5.0
Wk 12
@ Missouri L 27–49
-8.1
Wk 13
Bye — —
Wk 14
vs Ole Miss L 19–38
-4.7
Duke'S Mayo Bowl
vs Wake Forest L 29–43
-18.7