CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#125

Middle Tennessee

Conference USA · Conf Rank #10 ·
Net Rating -14.8
Strength of Schedule #132
Strength of Record #130
Stymied Anemic Offense (Turnover-Prone)Vulnerable DefenseDevelopmental Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 499
Comp % 60.7%#84
Yards 3,293
YPA 6.6
ADOT 9.2
INT 7
Success 43.5%#71
PPA 0.20#81
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
27.3%
3 / 11 completions
Yards 118
YPC 39.3
Success 27.3%#78
PPA 0.38#60
Deep Middle
40.0%
4 / 10 completions
Yards 156
YPC 39.0
Success 40.0%#59
PPA 0.82#51
Deep Right
31.6%
6 / 19 completions
Yards 207
YPC 34.5
Success 31.6%#67
PPA 0.32#68
Short Left
62.3%
48 / 77 completions
Yards 352
YPC 7.3
Success 44.2%#63
PPA 0.14#90
Short Middle
69.0%
29 / 42 completions
Yards 381
YPC 13.1
Success 45.2%#95
PPA 0.53#64
Short Right
66.3%
57 / 86 completions
Yards 429
YPC 7.5
Success 47.7%#28
PPA 0.14#75
No recorded location 156 / 251 completions
Yards 1,650
YPA 6.6
Comp % 62.2%
Success 43.4%
PPA 0.14

245 of 499 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Austin Peay L 14–34
-46.2
Wk 2
@ Wisconsin L 10–42
-8.7
Wk 3
@ Nevada W 14–13
+4.5
Wk 4
vs Marshall L 28–42
-13.8
Wk 5
@ Kennesaw State L 16–24
-4.3
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
vs Missouri State L 20–22
-2.1
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
@ Delaware L 28–31
+7.8
Wk 10
vs Jacksonville State L 21–24
+5.6
Wk 11
vs Florida International L 30–56
-27.3
Wk 12
@ Western Kentucky L 26–42
-0.5
Wk 13
vs Sam Houston W 31–17
+7.0
Wk 14
@ New Mexico State W 31–24
+9.7