CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#20

Michigan

Big Ten · Conf Rank #7 ·
Net Rating +13.8
Strength of Schedule #16
Strength of Record #21
Bully-Ball Ground Attack (Ball-Secure)Stout DefenseBlue-Blood Talent
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 340
Comp % 59.4%#94
Yards 2,438
YPA 7.2
ADOT 9.2
INT 10
Success 43.2%#74
PPA 0.22#73
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
22.2%
2 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 47
YPC 23.5
Success 22.2%#93
PPA -0.02#94
Deep Middle
50.0%
2 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 41
YPC 20.5
Success 50.0%#33
PPA 0.33#82
Deep Right
33.3%
3 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 94
YPC 31.3
Success 33.3%#57
PPA 0.06#90
Short Left
55.3%
21 / 38 completions
Yards 154
YPC 7.3
Success 34.2%#124
PPA 0.11#99
Short Middle
65.5%
19 / 29 completions
Yards 201
YPC 10.6
Success 41.4%#112
PPA 0.37#98
Short Right
70.2%
40 / 57 completions
Yards 420
YPC 10.5
Success 49.1%#24
PPA 0.28#35
No recorded location 115 / 194 completions
Yards 1,481
YPA 7.6
Comp % 59.3%
Success 44.8%
PPA 0.22

146 of 340 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs New Mexico W 34–17
-14.8
Wk 2
@ Oklahoma L 13–24
-10.0
Wk 3
vs Central Michigan W 63–3
+32.5
Wk 4
@ Nebraska W 30–27
+1.1
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
vs Wisconsin W 24–10
-1.2
Wk 7
@ USC L 13–31
-13.1
Wk 8
vs Washington W 24–7
+13.0
Wk 9
@ Michigan State W 31–20
-4.2
Wk 10
vs Purdue W 21–16
-16.7
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
@ Northwestern W 24–22
-10.3
Wk 13
@ Maryland W 45–20
+13.8
Wk 14
vs Ohio State L 9–27
-6.1
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
@ Texas L 27–41
-7.7