CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#84

Michigan State

Big Ten · Conf Rank #16 ·
Net Rating -4.4
Strength of Schedule #30
Strength of Record #84
Balanced SpreadSound DefenseUnderachieving High-Level Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 380
Comp % 63.2%#54
Yards 2,680
YPA 7.0
ADOT 8.1
INT 6
Success 46.1%#46
PPA 0.26#57
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
50.0%
3 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 139
YPC 46.3
Success 66.7%#4
PPA 1.24#14
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 1 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.53
Deep Right
44.4%
4 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 88
YPC 22.0
Success 44.4%#27
PPA 0.27#73
Short Left
68.6%
35 / 51 completions
Yards 239
YPC 6.8
Success 41.2%#84
PPA 0.17#87
Short Middle
71.4%
25 / 35 completions
Yards 313
YPC 12.5
Success 62.9%#20
PPA 0.73#34
Short Right
61.3%
38 / 62 completions
Yards 368
YPC 9.7
Success 35.5%#104
PPA -0.01#114
No recorded location 135 / 216 completions
Yards 1,533
YPA 7.1
Comp % 62.5%
Success 47.2%
PPA 0.26

164 of 380 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Western Michigan W 23–6
+6.3
Wk 2
vs Boston College W 42–40
+1.4
Wk 3
vs Youngstown State W 41–24
-18.1
Wk 4
@ USC L 31–45
+6.0
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
@ Nebraska L 27–38
+2.4
Wk 7
vs UCLA L 13–38
-33.3
Wk 8
@ Indiana L 13–38
+7.7
Wk 9
vs Michigan L 20–31
+4.2
Wk 10
@ Minnesota L 20–23
+7.1
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
vs Penn State L 10–28
-0.3
Wk 13
@ Iowa L 17–20
+20.4
Wk 14
vs Maryland W 38–28
+10.9