CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#77

Miami (OH)

Mid-American · Conf Rank #4 ·
Net Rating -2.8
Strength of Schedule #103
Strength of Record #104
Run-First OffenseSound DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 365
Comp % 49.6%#136
Yards 2,563
YPA 7.0
ADOT 13.3
INT 11
Success 38.5%#119
PPA 0.18#91
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
39.1%
9 / 23 completions
Yards 264
YPC 29.3
Success 39.1%#44
PPA 0.46#57
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#110
PPA -0.85#115
Deep Right
28.0%
7 / 25 completions
Yards 239
YPC 34.1
Success 28.0%#82
PPA -0.10#100
Short Left
51.3%
39 / 76 completions
Yards 413
YPC 10.6
Success 39.5%#97
PPA 0.18#86
Short Middle
50.0%
6 / 12 completions
Yards 70
YPC 11.7
Success 41.7%#110
PPA 0.63#48
Short Right
49.0%
25 / 51 completions
Yards 219
YPC 8.8
Success 37.3%#97
PPA 0.18#65
No recorded location 95 / 174 completions
Yards 1,358
YPA 7.8
Comp % 54.6%
Success 40.2%
PPA 0.16

190 of 365 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Wisconsin L 0–17
-8.8
Wk 2
@ Rutgers L 17–45
-17.2
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs UNLV L 38–41
+4.3
Wk 5
vs Lindenwood W 38–0
+9.1
Wk 6
@ Northern Illinois W 25–14
+14.0
Wk 7
@ Akron W 20–7
+3.0
Wk 8
vs Eastern Michigan W 44–30
+1.7
Wk 9
vs Western Michigan W 26–17
+7.7
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
@ Ohio L 20–24
+2.7
Wk 12
vs Toledo L 3–24
-14.2
Wk 13
@ Buffalo W 37–20
+15.7
Wk 14
vs Ball State W 45–24
+0.3
Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl
@ Fresno State L 3–18
-15.8