CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#33

Louisville

ACC · Conf Rank #6 ·
Net Rating +7.4
Strength of Schedule #45
Strength of Record #28
Methodical Chain-MoverElite DefenseHigh-Level Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 416
Comp % 64.4%#41
Yards 2,871
YPA 6.9
ADOT 7.1
INT 10
Success 44.7%#60
PPA 0.18#85
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
10.0%
1 / 10 completions
Yards 28
YPC 28.0
Success 10.0%#117
PPA -0.73#121
Deep Middle
80.0%
4 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 114
YPC 28.5
Success 80.0%#9
PPA 2.38#8
Deep Right
66.7%
4 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 129
YPC 32.3
Success 66.7%#3
PPA 1.19#14
Short Left
68.9%
31 / 45 completions
Yards 249
YPC 8.0
Success 46.7%#54
PPA 0.15#89
Short Middle
60.8%
31 / 51 completions
Yards 332
YPC 10.7
Success 41.2%#114
PPA 0.20#121
Short Right
70.3%
45 / 64 completions
Yards 323
YPC 7.2
Success 42.2%#66
PPA 0.14#75
No recorded location 152 / 231 completions
Yards 1,696
YPA 7.3
Comp % 65.8%
Success 45.9%
PPA 0.16

181 of 416 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Eastern Kentucky W 51–17
-15.6
Wk 2
vs James Madison W 28–14
+1.0
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs Bowling Green W 40–17
+5.7
Wk 5
@ Pittsburgh W 34–27
+4.3
Wk 6
vs Virginia L 27–30
-8.9
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
@ Miami W 24–21
+13.8
Wk 9
vs Boston College W 38–24
-8.3
Wk 10
@ Virginia Tech W 28–16
+2.1
Wk 11
vs California L 26–29
-21.3
Wk 12
vs Clemson L 19–20
-5.4
Wk 13
@ SMU L 6–38
-29.5
Wk 14
vs Kentucky W 41–0
+34.1
Bush'S Boca Raton Bowl
vs Toledo W 27–22
-5.6