CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#105

Louisiana

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating -8.8
Strength of Schedule #105
Strength of Record #98
Run-First OffenseSound DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 332
Comp % 55.4%#127
Yards 2,070
YPA 6.2
ADOT 9.7
INT 12
Success 36.0%#130
PPA 0.11#114
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
36.4%
4 / 11 completions
Yards 123
YPC 30.8
Success 36.4%#52
PPA 0.81#33
Deep Middle
40.0%
2 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 58
YPC 29.0
Success 40.0%#59
PPA 0.91#46
Deep Right
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 91
YPC 30.3
Success 42.9%#30
PPA 0.61#41
Short Left
75.0%
33 / 44 completions
Yards 308
YPC 9.3
Success 56.8%#10
PPA 0.70#1
Short Middle
56.0%
14 / 25 completions
Yards 248
YPC 17.7
Success 56.0%#43
PPA 1.01#10
Short Right
68.9%
42 / 61 completions
Yards 287
YPC 6.8
Success 29.5%#125
PPA 0.02#106
No recorded location 86 / 178 completions
Yards 955
YPA 5.4
Comp % 48.3%
Success 29.8%
PPA -0.21

153 of 332 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Rice L 12–14
-9.1
Wk 2
vs McNeese W 34–10
-2.3
Wk 3
@ Missouri L 10–52
-21.4
Wk 4
@ Eastern Michigan L 31–34
-6.9
Wk 5
vs Marshall W 54–51
+1.0
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
@ James Madison L 14–24
+8.8
Wk 8
vs Southern Miss L 10–22
-10.7
Wk 9
@ Troy L 23–35
-1.4
Wk 10
@ South Alabama W 31–22
+16.7
Wk 11
vs Texas State W 42–39
+8.0
Wk 12
Bye — —
Wk 13
@ Arkansas State W 34–30
+7.6
Wk 14
vs UL Monroe W 30–27
-11.4
68 Ventures Bowl
@ Delaware L 13–20
-12.7