CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

← Return
#85

Liberty

Conference USA · Conf Rank #3 ·
Net Rating -4.4
Strength of Schedule #111
Strength of Record #117
Balanced SpreadPorous & Passive DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 309
Comp % 55.0%#128
Yards 2,339
YPA 7.6
ADOT 10.8
INT 13
Success 43.3%#73
PPA 0.17#96
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
44.4%
4 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 148
YPC 37.0
Success 44.4%#27
PPA 0.92#26
Deep Middle
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 108
YPC 36.0
Success 42.9%#56
PPA 0.63#64
Deep Right
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 63
YPC 31.5
Success 28.6%#74
PPA 0.27#72
Short Left
67.4%
31 / 46 completions
Yards 323
YPC 10.4
Success 58.7%#8
PPA 0.40#26
Short Middle
70.6%
24 / 34 completions
Yards 296
YPC 12.3
Success 55.9%#44
PPA 0.75#30
Short Right
54.2%
26 / 48 completions
Yards 228
YPC 8.8
Success 37.5%#93
PPA 0.01#111
No recorded location 80 / 156 completions
Yards 1,173
YPA 7.5
Comp % 51.3%
Success 38.5%
PPA -0.05

151 of 309 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Maine W 28–7
-19.3
Wk 2
@ Jacksonville State L 24–34
-6.4
Wk 3
@ Bowling Green L 13–23
-9.4
Wk 4
vs James Madison L 13–31
-15.8
Wk 5
@ Old Dominion L 7–21
-2.3
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
@ UTEP W 19–8
+8.1
Wk 8
vs New Mexico State W 30–27
-8.8
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
vs Delaware W 59–30
+24.4
Wk 11
vs Missouri State L 17–21
-13.7
Wk 12
@ Florida International L 27–34
-10.4
Wk 13
@ Louisiana Tech L 28–34
-3.9
Wk 14
vs Kennesaw State L 42–48
-11.2