CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#79

Jacksonville State

Conference USA · Conf Rank #1 ·
Net Rating -2.9
Strength of Schedule #133
Strength of Record #74
Balanced SpreadVulnerable DefenseOverachieving Developmental Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 322
Comp % 59.9%#89
Yards 2,288
YPA 7.1
ADOT 9.3
INT 6
Success 41.3%#100
PPA 0.18#87
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 76
YPC 38.0
Success 28.6%#75
PPA -0.27#103
Deep Middle
50.0%
4 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 137
YPC 34.3
Success 50.0%#33
PPA 1.15#34
Deep Right
36.4%
4 / 11 completions
Yards 193
YPC 48.3
Success 36.4%#51
PPA 1.15#15
Short Left
59.1%
26 / 44 completions
Yards 175
YPC 6.7
Success 29.5%#134
PPA -0.17#133
Short Middle
73.3%
11 / 15 completions
Yards 156
YPC 14.2
Success 53.3%#53
PPA 0.58#54
Short Right
64.7%
44 / 68 completions
Yards 423
YPC 9.6
Success 48.5%#25
PPA 0.22#49
No recorded location 102 / 169 completions
Yards 1,128
YPA 6.7
Comp % 60.4%
Success 40.8%
PPA 0.13

153 of 322 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ UCF L 10–17
+1.2
Wk 2
vs Liberty W 34–24
+6.4
Wk 3
@ Georgia Southern L 34–41
-16.8
Wk 4
vs Murray State W 45–10
-6.2
Wk 5
@ Southern Miss L 25–42
-23.0
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
@ Sam Houston W 29–27
-12.8
Wk 8
vs Delaware W 38–25
+8.8
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
@ Middle Tennessee W 24–21
-5.6
Wk 11
@ UTEP W 30–27
-3.0
Wk 12
vs Kennesaw State W 35–26
+3.0
Wk 13
@ Florida International L 21–27
-9.4
Wk 14
vs Western Kentucky W 37–34
-0.5
Conference Usa Championship
vs Kennesaw State L 15–19
-10.1
Is4S Salute To Veterans Bowl
vs Troy W 17–13
+1.2