CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#41

Illinois

Big Ten · Conf Rank #9 ·
Net Rating +5.1
Strength of Schedule #28
Strength of Record #19
High-Powered OffenseSound DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 371
Comp % 67.9%#14
Yards 3,105
YPA 8.4
ADOT 8.2
INT 6
Success 52.0%#9
PPA 0.46#8
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 58
YPC 29.0
Success 33.3%#54
PPA 0.27#70
Deep Middle
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 27
YPC 27.0
Success 25.0%#91
PPA 0.02#96
Deep Right
62.5%
5 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 128
YPC 25.6
Success 62.5%#7
PPA 1.25#12
Short Left
68.8%
33 / 48 completions
Yards 272
YPC 8.2
Success 45.8%#58
PPA 0.32#46
Short Middle
55.6%
15 / 27 completions
Yards 205
YPC 13.7
Success 44.4%#101
PPA 0.30#108
Short Right
65.8%
50 / 76 completions
Yards 479
YPC 9.6
Success 51.3%#14
PPA 0.26#40
No recorded location 146 / 202 completions
Yards 1,936
YPA 9.6
Comp % 72.3%
Success 55.4%
PPA 0.57

169 of 371 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Western Illinois W 52–3
+0.9
Wk 2
@ Duke W 45–19
+28.2
Wk 3
vs Western Michigan W 38–0
+16.1
Wk 4
@ Indiana L 10–63
-41.5
Wk 5
vs USC W 34–32
+9.4
Wk 6
@ Purdue W 43–27
+7.9
Wk 7
vs Ohio State L 16–34
-1.2
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
@ Washington L 25–42
-10.6
Wk 10
vs Rutgers W 35–13
+11.3
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
vs Maryland W 24–6
+7.5
Wk 13
@ Wisconsin L 10–27
-23.6
Wk 14
vs Northwestern W 20–13
-1.3
Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl
vs Tennessee W 30–28
+15.1