CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#128

Georgia State

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #13 ·
Net Rating -15.7
Strength of Schedule #67
Strength of Record #133
Balanced SpreadPorous & Passive DefenseUnderachieving Above-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 472
Comp % 62.3%#63
Yards 3,204
YPA 6.8
ADOT 9.3
INT 10
Success 41.6%#97
PPA 0.20#82
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
10.0%
1 / 10 completions
Yards 20
YPC 20.0
Success 10.0%#117
PPA -0.67#118
Deep Middle
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 66
YPC 33.0
Success 33.3%#71
PPA 0.26#85
Deep Right
50.0%
6 / 12 completions
Yards 204
YPC 34.0
Success 50.0%#17
PPA 1.01#19
Short Left
63.3%
38 / 60 completions
Yards 279
YPC 7.3
Success 36.7%#115
PPA 0.04#118
Short Middle
57.1%
24 / 42 completions
Yards 390
YPC 16.3
Success 47.6%#81
PPA 0.61#51
Short Right
64.9%
37 / 57 completions
Yards 321
YPC 8.7
Success 38.6%#84
PPA 0.05#101
No recorded location 186 / 282 completions
Yards 1,924
YPA 6.8
Comp % 66.0%
Success 43.3%
PPA 0.19

187 of 472 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Ole Miss L 7–63
-26.3
Wk 2
vs Memphis L 16–38
-8.0
Wk 3
vs Murray State W 37–21
-12.8
Wk 4
@ Vanderbilt L 21–70
-23.9
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
vs James Madison L 7–14
+10.6
Wk 7
vs App State L 20–41
-17.4
Wk 8
@ Georgia Southern L 24–41
-8.4
Wk 9
vs South Alabama L 31–38
-0.6
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
@ Coastal Carolina L 27–40
-3.1
Wk 12
vs Marshall L 18–30
-1.3
Wk 13
@ Troy L 19–31
-0.8
Wk 14
@ Old Dominion L 10–27
+9.1