CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

← Return
#114

Georgia Southern

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #12 ·
Net Rating -11.4
Strength of Schedule #84
Strength of Record #72
Efficient OffenseVulnerable DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 430
Comp % 63.0%#56
Yards 3,232
YPA 7.5
ADOT 7.7
INT 9
Success 45.7%#51
PPA 0.32#40
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
37.5%
3 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 132
YPC 44.0
Success 37.5%#47
PPA 0.54#53
Deep Middle
57.1%
4 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 141
YPC 35.3
Success 57.1%#27
PPA 1.10#39
Deep Right
22.2%
2 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 116
YPC 58.0
Success 22.2%#98
PPA 0.15#82
Short Left
78.4%
58 / 74 completions
Yards 574
YPC 9.9
Success 55.4%#14
PPA 0.53#14
Short Middle
81.5%
22 / 27 completions
Yards 282
YPC 12.8
Success 66.7%#10
PPA 0.76#27
Short Right
64.5%
49 / 76 completions
Yards 382
YPC 7.8
Success 44.7%#53
PPA 0.17#67
No recorded location 133 / 228 completions
Yards 1,605
YPA 7.0
Comp % 58.3%
Success 41.2%
PPA 0.23

201 of 430 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Fresno State L 14–42
-27.5
Wk 2
@ USC L 20–59
-10.8
Wk 3
vs Jacksonville State W 41–34
+16.8
Wk 4
vs Maine W 45–17
+3.5
Wk 5
@ James Madison L 10–35
-7.8
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
vs Southern Miss L 35–38
-2.6
Wk 8
vs Georgia State W 41–24
+8.4
Wk 9
@ Arkansas State L 24–34
-9.7
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
@ App State W 25–23
+7.7
Wk 12
vs Coastal Carolina W 45–40
+3.9
Wk 13
vs Old Dominion L 10–45
-23.6
Wk 14
@ Marshall W 24–19
+18.7
Jlab Birmingham Bowl
@ App State W 29–10
+19.8