CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#58

East Carolina

American Athletic · Conf Rank #5 ·
Net Rating +1.9
Strength of Schedule #94
Strength of Record #48
Uptempo Run-Heavy Offense (Pass-Efficient)Stout & Disruptive DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 438
Comp % 64.6%#40
Yards 3,594
YPA 8.2
ADOT 9.1
INT 7
Success 48.9%#20
PPA 0.32#43
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
53.8%
7 / 13 completions
Yards 274
YPC 39.1
Success 53.8%#15
PPA 1.21#15
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#110
PPA -1.07#117
Deep Right
25.0%
2 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 75
YPC 37.5
Success 25.0%#88
PPA 0.29#69
Short Left
77.8%
42 / 54 completions
Yards 472
YPC 11.2
Success 63.0%#3
PPA 0.61#6
Short Middle
63.4%
26 / 41 completions
Yards 349
YPC 13.4
Success 56.1%#42
PPA 0.59#52
Short Right
64.9%
37 / 57 completions
Yards 276
YPC 7.5
Success 35.1%#107
PPA -0.06#121
No recorded location 169 / 259 completions
Yards 2,148
YPA 8.3
Comp % 65.3%
Success 49.4%
PPA 0.28

179 of 438 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ NC State L 17–24
+0.8
Wk 2
vs Campbell W 56–3
+16.9
Wk 3
@ Coastal Carolina W 38–0
+28.9
Wk 4
vs BYU L 13–34
-12.4
Wk 5
vs Army W 28–6
+12.9
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
@ Tulane L 19–26
-7.7
Wk 8
vs Tulsa W 41–27
-8.5
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
@ Temple W 45–14
+23.7
Wk 11
vs Charlotte W 48–22
-2.9
Wk 12
vs Memphis W 31–27
+2.8
Wk 13
@ UTSA L 24–58
-37.5
Wk 14
@ Florida Atlantic W 42–3
+31.9
Go Bowling Military Bowl
vs Pittsburgh W 23–17
+9.1