CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#100

Colorado

Big 12 · Conf Rank #15 ·
Net Rating -7.8
Strength of Schedule #35
Strength of Record #119
Run-Heavy Offense (Pass-Efficient, Turnover-Prone)Sound DefenseUnderachieving Elite Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 357
Comp % 58.5%#104
Yards 2,439
YPA 6.8
ADOT 8.5
INT 10
Success 38.4%#120
PPA 0.15#100
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
4 / 12 completions
Yards 110
YPC 27.5
Success 33.3%#54
PPA 0.25#71
Deep Middle
33.3%
1 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 42
YPC 42.0
Success 33.3%#71
PPA 1.13#36
Deep Right
14.3%
1 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 43
YPC 43.0
Success 14.3%#115
PPA -0.08#99
Short Left
63.6%
28 / 44 completions
Yards 188
YPC 6.7
Success 36.4%#117
PPA -0.10#131
Short Middle
60.0%
12 / 20 completions
Yards 129
YPC 10.8
Success 35.0%#126
PPA 0.26#113
Short Right
57.1%
40 / 70 completions
Yards 308
YPC 7.7
Success 25.7%#132
PPA -0.08#124
No recorded location 123 / 201 completions
Yards 1,619
YPA 8.1
Comp % 61.2%
Success 44.8%
PPA 0.27

156 of 357 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Georgia Tech L 20–27
-14.4
Wk 2
vs Delaware W 31–7
+10.4
Wk 3
@ Houston L 20–36
-16.9
Wk 4
vs Wyoming W 37–20
+4.7
Wk 5
vs BYU L 21–24
+5.2
Wk 6
@ TCU L 21–35
-3.4
Wk 7
vs Iowa State W 24–17
+7.4
Wk 8
Bye — —
Wk 9
@ Utah L 7–53
-31.7
Wk 10
vs Arizona L 17–52
-35.7
Wk 11
@ West Virginia L 22–29
-4.6
Wk 12
Bye — —
Wk 13
vs Arizona State L 17–42
-18.9
Wk 14
@ Kansas State L 14–24
+5.8