CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

← Return
#97

Central Michigan

Mid-American · Conf Rank #5 ·
Net Rating -7.5
Strength of Schedule #117
Strength of Record #78
Controlled Pace Run-Heavy Offense (Pass-Efficient)Sound DefenseUnderdog Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 256
Comp % 67.6%#16
Yards 2,157
YPA 8.4
ADOT 8.2
INT 7
Success 47.3%#33
PPA 0.40#19
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 60
YPC 30.0
Success 66.7%#4
PPA 1.70#5
Deep Middle
50.0%
3 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 119
YPC 39.7
Success 50.0%#33
PPA 0.71#59
Deep Right
40.0%
2 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 57
YPC 28.5
Success 40.0%#35
PPA 0.69#36
Short Left
77.8%
28 / 36 completions
Yards 251
YPC 9.0
Success 55.6%#11
PPA 0.56#9
Short Middle
82.1%
23 / 28 completions
Yards 321
YPC 14.0
Success 67.9%#9
PPA 1.03#7
Short Right
73.2%
30 / 41 completions
Yards 307
YPC 10.2
Success 46.3%#43
PPA 0.22#50
No recorded location 85 / 137 completions
Yards 1,042
YPA 7.6
Comp % 62.0%
Success 40.9%
PPA 0.24

119 of 256 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ San José State W 16–14
+13.4
Wk 2
@ Pittsburgh L 17–45
-9.1
Wk 3
@ Michigan L 3–63
-32.5
Wk 4
vs Wagner W 49–10
+17.8
Wk 5
vs Eastern Michigan W 24–13
+9.4
Wk 6
@ Akron L 22–28
-8.3
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
@ Bowling Green W 27–6
+33.1
Wk 9
vs Massachusetts W 38–13
+7.4
Wk 10
@ Western Michigan L 21–24
+6.4
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
vs Buffalo W 38–19
+17.8
Wk 13
@ Kent State W 28–16
+3.0
Wk 14
vs Toledo L 3–21
-6.2
Gameabove Sports Bowl
@ Northwestern L 7–34
-16.8