CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#83

California

ACC · Conf Rank #13 ·
Net Rating -4.4
Strength of Schedule #72
Strength of Record #82
Balanced SpreadSound DefenseUnderachieving High-Level Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 520
Comp % 63.1%#55
Yards 3,631
YPA 7.0
ADOT 7.8
INT 9
Success 45.8%#50
PPA 0.28#54
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
30.0%
3 / 10 completions
Yards 80
YPC 26.7
Success 30.0%#70
PPA 0.25#72
Deep Middle
100.0%
4 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 104
YPC 26.0
Success 100.0%#1
PPA 1.46#24
Deep Right
58.3%
7 / 12 completions
Yards 216
YPC 30.9
Success 58.3%#11
PPA 1.39#8
Short Left
66.3%
61 / 92 completions
Yards 408
YPC 6.7
Success 37.0%#113
PPA 0.04#117
Short Middle
70.2%
33 / 47 completions
Yards 409
YPC 12.4
Success 55.3%#46
PPA 0.58#53
Short Right
74.0%
57 / 77 completions
Yards 551
YPC 9.7
Success 49.4%#21
PPA 0.50#7
No recorded location 163 / 276 completions
Yards 1,863
YPA 6.8
Comp % 59.1%
Success 45.3%
PPA 0.17

242 of 520 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Oregon State W 34–15
+13.7
Wk 2
vs Texas Southern W 35–3
-9.3
Wk 3
vs Minnesota W 27–14
+17.9
Wk 4
@ San Diego State L 0–34
-42.1
Wk 5
@ Boston College W 28–24
+7.6
Wk 6
vs Duke L 21–45
-21.3
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
vs North Carolina W 21–18
-4.8
Wk 9
@ Virginia Tech L 34–42
-4.7
Wk 10
vs Virginia L 21–31
-4.0
Wk 11
@ Louisville W 29–26
+21.3
Wk 12
Bye — —
Wk 13
@ Stanford L 10–31
-25.3
Wk 14
vs SMU W 38–35
+15.8
Sheraton HawaiʻI Bowl
@ Hawai'i L 31–35
-6.9