CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#108

Buffalo

Mid-American · Conf Rank #6 ·
Net Rating -9.8
Strength of Schedule #136
Strength of Record #106
Uptempo Anemic OffenseSound DefenseDevelopmental Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 417
Comp % 57.3%#118
Yards 2,688
YPA 6.5
ADOT 10.6
INT 14
Success 39.9%#114
PPA 0.11#112
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
3 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 155
YPC 51.7
Success 33.3%#54
PPA 0.77#35
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 1 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.10
Deep Right
52.9%
9 / 17 completions
Yards 301
YPC 33.4
Success 52.9%#16
PPA 0.77#30
Short Left
59.2%
29 / 49 completions
Yards 267
YPC 9.2
Success 40.8%#90
PPA 0.13#92
Short Middle
50.0%
14 / 28 completions
Yards 141
YPC 10.1
Success 42.9%#104
PPA 0.07#131
Short Right
65.5%
38 / 58 completions
Yards 283
YPC 7.5
Success 34.5%#109
PPA 0.07#96
No recorded location 146 / 254 completions
Yards 1,541
YPA 6.1
Comp % 57.5%
Success 40.2%
PPA 0.06

162 of 417 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Minnesota L 10–23
+4.9
Wk 2
vs Saint Francis W 45–6
+9.5
Wk 3
@ Kent State W 31–28
-9.5
Wk 4
vs Troy L 17–21
-7.8
Wk 5
vs UConn L 17–20
-3.8
Wk 6
vs Eastern Michigan W 31–30
-9.9
Wk 7
Bye — —
Wk 8
@ Massachusetts W 28–21
-8.5
Wk 9
vs Akron L 16–24
-22.1
Wk 10
@ Bowling Green W 28–3
+29.9
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
@ Central Michigan L 19–38
-17.8
Wk 13
vs Miami (OH) L 20–37
-15.7
Wk 14
vs Ohio L 26–31
+1.4