CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#119

Bowling Green

Mid-American · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating -12.9
Strength of Schedule #129
Strength of Record #118
Controlled Pace Stymied Anemic OffenseDisruptive DefenseCompetitive Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 283
Comp % 57.6%#113
Yards 1,851
YPA 6.5
ADOT 7.9
INT 12
Success 38.9%#118
PPA 0.05#128
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 43
YPC 21.5
Success 33.3%#54
PPA -0.24#101
Deep Middle
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 20
YPC 20.0
Success 25.0%#91
PPA 0.44#73
Deep Right
0.0%
0 / 1 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.70
Short Left
60.9%
14 / 23 completions
Yards 142
YPC 10.1
Success 47.8%#44
PPA 0.37#32
Short Middle
39.1%
9 / 23 completions
Yards 122
YPC 13.6
Success 26.1%#135
PPA -0.03#134
Short Right
58.5%
24 / 41 completions
Yards 341
YPC 14.2
Success 41.5%#73
PPA 0.36#18
No recorded location 113 / 182 completions
Yards 1,183
YPA 6.5
Comp % 62.1%
Success 39.6%
PPA -0.04

98 of 283 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Lafayette W 26–7
-16.4
Wk 2
@ Cincinnati L 20–34
-11.3
Wk 3
vs Liberty W 23–13
+9.4
Wk 4
@ Louisville L 17–40
-5.7
Wk 5
@ Ohio L 20–35
-9.3
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
vs Toledo W 28–23
+12.9
Wk 8
vs Central Michigan L 6–27
-33.1
Wk 9
@ Kent State L 21–24
-14.2
Wk 10
vs Buffalo L 3–28
-29.9
Wk 11
@ Eastern Michigan L 21–27
-4.1
Wk 12
Bye — —
Wk 13
vs Akron L 16–19
-10.0
Wk 14
@ Massachusetts W 45–14
+14.9