CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#50

Boise State

Mountain West · Conf Rank #2 ·
Net Rating +3.2
Strength of Schedule #64
Strength of Record #44
Efficient OffenseStout Secondary DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 472
Comp % 57.6%#113
Yards 3,408
YPA 7.2
ADOT 9.0
INT 15
Success 42.6%#84
PPA 0.17#93
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
11.1%
1 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 66
YPC 66.0
Success 11.1%#113
PPA -0.54#114
Deep Middle
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 66
YPC 33.0
Success 28.6%#86
PPA -0.34#107
Deep Right
50.0%
5 / 10 completions
Yards 144
YPC 28.8
Success 50.0%#17
PPA 0.37#59
Short Left
56.5%
48 / 85 completions
Yards 493
YPC 10.3
Success 38.8%#104
PPA 0.06#112
Short Middle
54.8%
23 / 42 completions
Yards 269
YPC 11.7
Success 45.2%#95
PPA 0.39#91
Short Right
64.3%
45 / 70 completions
Yards 410
YPC 9.1
Success 38.6%#84
PPA 0.18#66
No recorded location 148 / 249 completions
Yards 1,960
YPA 7.9
Comp % 59.4%
Success 45.8%
PPA 0.21

223 of 472 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ South Florida L 7–34
-30.0
Wk 2
vs Eastern Washington W 51–14
+1.1
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
@ Air Force W 49–37
+3.5
Wk 5
vs App State W 47–14
+25.1
Wk 6
@ Notre Dame L 7–28
+4.2
Wk 7
vs New Mexico W 41–25
+4.7
Wk 8
vs UNLV W 56–31
+19.3
Wk 9
@ Nevada W 24–3
+1.5
Wk 10
vs Fresno State L 7–30
-37.2
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
@ San Diego State L 7–17
-7.2
Wk 13
vs Colorado State W 49–21
+11.7
Wk 14
@ Utah State W 25–24
-3.0
Bucked Up La Bowl
@ Washington L 10–38
-21.3