CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#133

Ball State

Mid-American · Conf Rank #12 ·
Net Rating -20.1
Strength of Schedule #102
Strength of Record #114
Controlled Pace Stymied Anemic Offense (Turnover-Prone)Sound DefenseDevelopmental Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 271
Comp % 56.5%#121
Yards 1,680
YPA 6.2
ADOT 9.1
INT 8
Success 36.2%#129
PPA 0.11#117
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
25.0%
2 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 69
YPC 34.5
Success 25.0%#81
PPA 0.18#77
Deep Middle
66.7%
2 / 3 completionssmall sample
Yards 57
YPC 28.5
Success 66.7%#12
PPA 2.37#9
Deep Right
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 68
YPC 34.0
Success 33.3%#57
PPA 0.32#66
Short Left
54.3%
19 / 35 completions
Yards 146
YPC 7.7
Success 37.1%#111
PPA 0.19#79
Short Middle
70.6%
12 / 17 completions
Yards 173
YPC 14.4
Success 41.2%#114
PPA 0.54#63
Short Right
55.8%
29 / 52 completions
Yards 239
YPC 8.2
Success 30.8%#123
PPA 0.05#102
No recorded location 87 / 150 completions
Yards 928
YPA 6.2
Comp % 58.0%
Success 37.3%
PPA 0.00

121 of 271 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Purdue L 0–31
-24.9
Wk 2
@ Auburn L 3–42
-9.4
Wk 3
vs New Hampshire W 34–29
-7.3
Wk 4
@ UConn L 25–31
+14.0
Wk 5
Bye — —
Wk 6
vs Ohio W 20–14
+21.1
Wk 7
@ Western Michigan L 0–42
-28.9
Wk 8
vs Akron W 42–28
+12.5
Wk 9
@ Northern Illinois L 7–21
-3.2
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
vs Kent State W 17–13
-0.3
Wk 12
vs Eastern Michigan L 9–24
-11.3
Wk 13
@ Toledo L 9–38
+2.1
Wk 14
@ Miami (OH) L 24–45
-0.3