CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#89

Army

American Athletic · Conf Rank #8 ·
Net Rating -5.7
Strength of Schedule #89
Strength of Record #86
Controlled Pace Balanced Spread (Ball-Secure)Sound DefenseOverachieving Underdog Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 123
Comp % 54.5%#131
Yards 1,044
YPA 8.5
ADOT 14.1
INT 5
Success 38.2%#121
PPA 0.32#41
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 1 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.40
Deep Middle
33.3%
2 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 86
YPC 43.0
Success 33.3%#71
PPA 0.29#83
Deep Right
42.9%
3 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 96
YPC 32.0
Success 42.9%#30
PPA 1.14#16
Short Left
66.7%
10 / 15 completions
Yards 102
YPC 10.2
Success 46.7%#54
PPA 0.60#7
Short Middle
62.5%
5 / 8 completionssmall sample
Yards 59
YPC 11.8
Success 50.0%#65
PPA 0.64#45
Short Right
66.7%
8 / 12 completions
Yards 64
YPC 8.0
Success 33.3%
PPA 0.46
No recorded location 39 / 74 completions
Yards 637
YPA 8.6
Comp % 52.7%
Success 36.5%
PPA 0.14

49 of 123 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Tarleton State L 27–30
-27.7
Wk 2
@ Kansas State W 24–21
+19.9
Wk 3
Bye — —
Wk 4
vs North Texas L 38–45
-0.1
Wk 5
@ East Carolina L 6–28
-12.9
Wk 6
@ UAB W 31–13
+18.6
Wk 7
vs Charlotte W 24–7
+1.5
Wk 8
@ Tulane L 17–24
+0.9
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
@ Air Force W 20–17
-0.3
Wk 11
vs Temple W 14–13
-7.1
Wk 12
Bye — —
Wk 13
vs Tulsa L 25–26
-15.2
Wk 14
@ UTSA W 27–24
+13.8
Wk 15
Bye — —
Wk 16
@ Navy L 16–17
+5.8
Wasabi Fenway Bowl
vs UConn W 41–16
+38.1