CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#54

Arkansas

SEC · Conf Rank #15 ·
Net Rating +2.9
Strength of Schedule #6
Strength of Record #102
High-Powered Ground AttackVulnerable DefenseUnderachieving Elite Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 380
Comp % 60.8%#83
Yards 3,175
YPA 8.4
ADOT 8.6
INT 11
Success 48.7%#22
PPA 0.37#28
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
75.0%
3 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 94
YPC 31.3
Success 75.0%#1
PPA 1.43#11
Deep Middle
60.0%
3 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 113
YPC 37.7
Success 60.0%#25
PPA 1.62#20
Deep Right
28.6%
2 / 7 completionssmall sample
Yards 66
YPC 33.0
Success 28.6%#74
PPA -0.01#95
Short Left
66.7%
26 / 39 completions
Yards 268
YPC 10.3
Success 43.6%#67
PPA 0.25#65
Short Middle
61.8%
21 / 34 completions
Yards 280
YPC 13.3
Success 50.0%#65
PPA 0.56#57
Short Right
57.1%
32 / 56 completions
Yards 322
YPC 10.1
Success 37.5%#93
PPA 0.24#44
No recorded location 144 / 235 completions
Yards 2,032
YPA 8.7
Comp % 61.3%
Success 51.9%
PPA 0.36

145 of 380 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Alabama A&M W 52–7
-3.0
Wk 2
vs Arkansas State W 56–14
+27.2
Wk 3
@ Ole Miss L 35–41
+6.3
Wk 4
@ Memphis L 31–32
-0.1
Wk 5
vs Notre Dame L 13–56
-34.4
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
@ Tennessee L 31–34
+12.3
Wk 8
vs Texas A&M L 42–45
+7.3
Wk 9
vs Auburn L 24–33
-5.4
Wk 10
vs Mississippi State L 35–38
-7.2
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
@ LSU L 22–23
+7.0
Wk 13
@ Texas L 37–52
+0.1
Wk 14
vs Missouri L 17–31
-7.0