CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#44

Arizona State

Big 12 · Conf Rank #6 ·
Net Rating +4.7
Strength of Schedule #38
Strength of Record #45
Efficient OffenseStout Secondary DefenseHigh-Level Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 431
Comp % 57.8%#111
Yards 2,963
YPA 6.9
ADOT 9.6
INT 9
Success 40.8%#107
PPA 0.17#93
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
44.4%
4 / 9 completionssmall sample
Yards 121
YPC 30.3
Success 44.4%#27
PPA 1.04#21
Deep Middle
25.0%
1 / 4 completionssmall sample
Yards 44
YPC 44.0
Success 25.0%#91
PPA 0.40#75
Deep Right
31.6%
6 / 19 completions
Yards 218
YPC 36.3
Success 31.6%#67
PPA 0.49#50
Short Left
56.9%
37 / 65 completions
Yards 298
YPC 8.1
Success 32.3%#131
PPA -0.07#128
Short Middle
81.8%
18 / 22 completions
Yards 317
YPC 17.6
Success 72.7%#3
PPA 1.62#1
Short Right
63.5%
40 / 63 completions
Yards 356
YPC 8.9
Success 44.4%#55
PPA -0.09#128
No recorded location 143 / 249 completions
Yards 1,609
YPA 6.5
Comp % 57.4%
Success 40.2%
PPA 0.12

182 of 431 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Northern Arizona W 38–19
-30.1
Wk 2
@ Mississippi State L 20–24
-9.9
Wk 3
vs Texas State W 34–15
+15.4
Wk 4
@ Baylor W 27–24
+1.9
Wk 5
vs TCU W 27–24
+5.0
Wk 6
Bye — —
Wk 7
@ Utah L 10–42
-23.5
Wk 8
vs Texas Tech W 26–22
+16.7
Wk 9
vs Houston L 16–24
-14.2
Wk 10
@ Iowa State W 24–19
+9.0
Wk 11
Bye — —
Wk 12
vs West Virginia W 25–23
-10.9
Wk 13
@ Colorado W 42–17
+18.9
Wk 14
vs Arizona L 7–23
-17.6
Wk 15
Bye — —
Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl
@ Duke L 39–42
-6.5