CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#110

App State

Sun Belt · Conf Rank #10 ·
Net Rating -10.2
Strength of Schedule #118
Strength of Record #109
Uptempo Pass-Heavy Anemic OffenseSound DefenseAbove-Average Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 506
Comp % 58.3%#105
Yards 3,300
YPA 6.5
ADOT 7.9
INT 15
Success 41.3%#100
PPA 0.13#108
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
53.3%
8 / 15 completions
Yards 256
YPC 32.0
Success 53.3%#16
PPA 1.28#13
Deep Middle
0.0%
0 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%#110
PPA -0.67#110
Deep Right
36.4%
4 / 11 completions
Yards 131
YPC 32.8
Success 36.4%#51
PPA 0.43#54
Short Left
67.2%
45 / 67 completions
Yards 316
YPC 7.0
Success 43.3%#70
PPA 0.23#69
Short Middle
60.6%
20 / 33 completions
Yards 221
YPC 11.1
Success 42.4%#108
PPA 0.38#95
Short Right
65.6%
63 / 96 completions
Yards 448
YPC 7.1
Success 39.6%#81
PPA 0.14#79
No recorded location 155 / 278 completions
Yards 1,928
YPA 6.9
Comp % 55.8%
Success 41.7%
PPA 0.01

228 of 506 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
@ Charlotte W 34–11
+17.3
Wk 2
vs Lindenwood W 20–13
-28.6
Wk 3
@ Southern Miss L 22–38
-24.3
Wk 4
Bye — —
Wk 5
@ Boise State L 14–47
-25.1
Wk 6
vs Oregon State W 27–23
+2.9
Wk 7
@ Georgia State W 41–20
+17.4
Wk 8
vs Coastal Carolina L 37–45
-16.0
Wk 9
@ Old Dominion L 21–24
+11.1
Wk 10
Bye — —
Wk 11
vs Georgia Southern L 23–25
-7.7
Wk 12
@ James Madison L 10–58
-25.6
Wk 13
vs Marshall W 26–24
+8.2
Wk 14
vs Arkansas State L 29–30
-2.9
Jlab Birmingham Bowl
vs Georgia Southern L 10–29
-19.8