CFB Power Rankings

Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.

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#116

Air Force

Mountain West · Conf Rank #10 ·
Net Rating -12.1
Strength of Schedule #101
Strength of Record #121
Controlled Pace Efficient Offense (Ball-Secure)Porous & Passive DefenseUnderdog Roster
Passing & Rushing Breakdown
Passing
Att 163
Comp % 60.1%#87
Yards 1,695
YPA 10.4
ADOT 11.5
INT 6
Success 50.0%#14
PPA 0.53#4
Color = success rate vs FBS average
Deep Left
0.0%
0 / 1 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.27
Deep Middle
50.0%
3 / 6 completionssmall sample
Yards 72
YPC 24.0
Success 50.0%#33
PPA 1.12#37
Deep Right
0.0%
0 / 2 completionssmall sample
Yards 0
YPC —
Success 0.0%
PPA -0.85
Short Left
58.8%
10 / 17 completions
Yards 114
YPC 11.4
Success 41.2%#84
PPA 0.22#70
Short Middle
80.0%
4 / 5 completionssmall sample
Yards 47
YPC 11.8
Success 60.0%
PPA 0.38
Short Right
78.9%
15 / 19 completions
Yards 190
YPC 12.7
Success 57.9%#3
PPA 1.03#1
No recorded location 66 / 112 completions
Yards 1,272
YPA 11.4
Comp % 58.9%
Success 50.9%
PPA 0.50

50 of 163 pass attempts have a recorded zone; the rest are in the row above.

What do these stats mean?
Success rate
Share of plays that gained enough to keep the offense on schedule (roughly half the needed yards on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd/4th).
PPA
Predicted points added per play: how much each play changed the offense's expected points.
ADOT
Average depth of target: how far downfield the average throw travels in the air.
YAC
Yards gained after the catch.
Explosiveness
How big the successful plays are, on average.
Stuff rate
Share of carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage.
Line yards
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line rather than the runner.
Second level / open field
Yards gained beyond the line: the second level is roughly 5-10 yards past the line of scrimmage, open field is farther. The bar under each rushing tile shows each source as a share of the three combined.
#12 (rank)
Season rank among FBS teams with meaningful volume in that spot. #1 is best; on Defense Allowed, #1 allowed the least. Ranks are hidden in single-game views.
Small sample
Fewer than 10 plays in a season (3 in a single game). These tiles are dimmed and not colored.
Defense Allowed
Same stats, but for what opponents did against this team. Lower is better there.

Schedule & Results

Week Opponent Result / Prediction vs Prediction
Wk 1
vs Bucknell W 49–13
+12.2
Wk 2
Bye — —
Wk 3
@ Utah State L 30–49
-16.3
Wk 4
vs Boise State L 37–49
-3.5
Wk 5
vs Hawai'i L 35–44
-9.9
Wk 6
@ Navy L 31–34
+15.4
Wk 7
@ UNLV L 48–51
+13.2
Wk 8
vs Wyoming W 24–21
+3.1
Wk 9
Bye — —
Wk 10
vs Army L 17–20
+0.3
Wk 11
@ San José State W 26–16
+17.8
Wk 12
@ UConn L 16–26
+1.6
Wk 13
vs New Mexico L 3–20
-12.7
Wk 14
@ Colorado State W 42–21
+23.2