Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Kennesaw State | W 28–16 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Texas State | L 10–49 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Texas | L 7–56 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Houston Christian | W 45–7 | |
| Wk 5 | @ East Carolina | L 20–30 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ Rice | L 27–29 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Florida Atlantic | W 38–24 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Tulsa | L 45–46 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Memphis | W 44–36 | |
| Wk 11 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 12 | vs North Texas | W 48–27 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Temple | W 51–27 | |
| Wk 14 | @ Army | L 24–29 | |
| Myrtle Beach Bowl | vs Coastal Carolina | W 44–15 |