Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Houston | W 27–7 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 72–14 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Kansas | W 23–20 | |
| Wk 4 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 5 | vs Fresno State | W 59–14 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Syracuse | L 41–44 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Utah State | W 50–34 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Oregon State | W 33–25 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Boise State | L 24–29 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Hawai'i | W 29–27 | |
| Wk 12 | vs San Diego State | W 41–20 | |
| Wk 13 | @ San José State | W 27–16 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Nevada | W 38–14 | |
| Mountain West Championship | @ Boise State | L 7–21 | |
| Art Of Sport La Bowl | vs California | W 24–13 |