Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs SE Louisiana | W 52–0 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Kansas State | L 27–34 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Oklahoma | L 19–34 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Louisiana | W 41–33 | |
| Wk 5 | vs South Florida | W 45–10 | |
| Wk 6 | @ UAB | W 71–20 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Rice | W 24–10 | |
| Wk 9 | @ North Texas | W 45–37 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Charlotte | W 34–3 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Temple | W 52–6 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Navy | W 35–0 | |
| Wk 13 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 14 | vs Memphis | L 24–34 | |
| Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl | @ Florida | L 8–33 |