Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Sacramento State | W 42–24 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Air Force | W 17–7 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Kennesaw State | W 31–10 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Washington State | L 52–54 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | vs Nevada | W 35–31 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Colorado State | L 24–31 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Wyoming | W 24–14 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Fresno State | L 10–33 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Oregon State | W 24–13 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Boise State | L 21–42 | |
| Wk 13 | vs UNLV | L 16–27 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Stanford | W 34–31 | |
| HawaiʻI Bowl | vs South Florida | L 39–41 |